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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Zach Davies

Zach Davies

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj112.800005.445.4215.1%9.2%5.8%————34.51
2023191986.026007.224.4119.0%10.3%8.7%.355.35557.0%44.3%331.74
20222929141.7360
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
4.13
4.92
17.8%
9.1%
8.7%
.334
.250
74.9%
43.7%
206
7.10
20213434155.7812005.615.3817.1%11.2%5.9%.376.30170.4%44.0%1313.85
2020141476.375003.423.9522.8%6.9%15.9%.344.27574.7%43.3%16111.50
20193232165.0107003.604.3815.1%7.5%7.6%.340.27373.8%41.5%2708.44
2018161575.038004.804.2617.4%7.5%9.9%.333.30768.5%48.3%754.69
20173434195.3179004.014.1515.2%6.7%8.5%.337.30373.2%51.4%3129.18
20162828163.3117003.973.8519.7%5.6%14.1%.294.30272.0%47.3%29710.61
20158840.733003.984.3517.3%10.8%6.5%.307.28574.4%58.0%577.13