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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #16 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards · #16
V⁻ -20VORP 32V⁺ 29
Xavier Edwards

Xavier Edwards

2B / SS·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
318
H
80
HR
6
AVG
.291
xwOBA
.338
PPG
2.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj93401.285.351.382.097.33113.3%9.3%4.0%4172192.36—
202675318.291
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
54
.338
xBA
70
.271
xSLG
.379
.425
.134
.338
13.2%
12.3%
0.9%
6
11
194
2.59
—
2025142620.283.344.352.069.29614.2%7.9%6.3%3283152.22—
202470304.327.401.421.094.30317.1%10.9%6.2%1311892.70—
20232884.295.329.333.038.26916.7%3.6%13.1%05371.32—
36
.401
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
86.5
Median EV
56
93.1
90th % EV
7
100.3
Barrel %
22
5.5
Hard-Hit %
13
32.1
Sweet-Spot %
85
40.5
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.1
Median
6
67.1
90th %
3
71.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
86
22.4
Whiff %
87
14.5
K %
87
13.2
BB %
73
12.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-3.6r
38 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.8r
55 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.1%
326 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
223231+9%11-9%11+0%11-8%1341+60%10-44%9-48%27-19%31-29%14+25%84+33%12+13%16-22%23-33%24+11%9+17%61+0%7+71%74-10%1011221122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 326