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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #48 of 236

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman · #48
V⁻ 8VORP 29V⁺ 42
Tyler Freeman

Tyler Freeman

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
181
H
42
HR
3
AVG
.266
xwOBA
.321
PPG
2.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj62267.276.348.389.112.33412.7%7.2%5.5%4101502.43—
202646181.266
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

181 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
32
.321
xBA
72
.272
.345
.367
.101
.321
12.2%
5.0%
7.2%
3
5
101
2.20
—
2025111428.281.358.361.080.32511.9%7.9%4.0%2192392.15—
2024116384.208.307.320.112.30813.8%7.3%6.5%7101971.70—
202355169.240.295.364.124.31717.8%5.9%11.9%45761.38—
20222386.247.318.286.039.27412.8%4.7%8.1%01321.39—
xSLG
15
.359
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
84.7
Median EV
13
88.6
90th % EV
17
101.9
Barrel %
3
1.4
Hard-Hit %
18
35.0
Sweet-Spot %
50
35.7
Bat Speed
Avg
24
68.5
Median
22
69.5
90th %
28
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
26.5
Whiff %
94
10.8
K %
92
12.2
BB %
7
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-2.1r
23 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
18 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.0%
132 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.30
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121413344111-33%6-29%7-11%9531+0%6-31%13-14%7521+43%7+43%7-17%6511123CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 132