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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #194 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters · #60
V⁻ -34VORP -15V⁺ -70
Tristan Peters

Tristan Peters

OF·CHW
Compare
Compare
PA
346
H
82
HR
6
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.299
PPG
1.71
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj46198.230.297.342.112.29021.4%8.2%13.1%33771.68—
2026107346.265
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

346 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.299
xBA
32
.243
.329
.413
.148
.299
18.2%
7.2%
11.0%
6
6
183
1.71
—
2025712.000.000.000.000.14658.3%0.0%58.3%00-3-0.43—
xSLG
17
.362
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
83.0
Median EV
4
86.5
90th % EV
1
96.0
Barrel %
17
4.7
Hard-Hit %
12
29.6
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
13
66.9
Median
10
68.1
90th %
24
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
32
32.6
Whiff %
58
20.3
K %
67
18.2
BB %
22
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 28th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
45 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.1r
24 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.1%
215 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.77
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2322+10%10-27%11+27%11314+11%9-30%10-18%11-30%10545+21%14-11%9-7%14+13%15+50%621+0%9+17%12251123CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 215