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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #61 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray · #60
V⁻ —VORP -18V⁺ —
Tristan Gray

Tristan Gray

2B / 3B / SS·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
141
H
31
HR
4
AVG
.242
xwOBA
.292
PPG
1.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj26111.213.270.358.145.28129.3%6.7%22.7%31361.40—
202645141.242
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

141 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.292
xBA
23
.235
.292
.367
.125
.292
29.8%
5.7%
24.1%
4
2
56
1.24
—
20253486.231.286.410.179.35022.1%7.0%15.1%30381.12—
20241431.107.194.143.036.21251.6%9.7%41.9%00-10-0.71—
202375.400.4001.000.600.6550.0%0.0%0.0%10162.29—
xSLG
15
.360
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
88.1
Median EV
44
92.1
90th % EV
48
104.9
Barrel %
30
6.7
Hard-Hit %
43
41.6
Sweet-Spot %
93
42.7
Bat Speed
Avg
44
70.1
Median
54
72.2
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
8
38.6
Whiff %
8
30.2
K %
8
29.8
BB %
11
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-3.2r
34 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.0r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.4%
175 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.41
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
32124+0%75+0%63154-25%16-31%13-50%10534+38%8+0%9-20%105221+50%6+36%113422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 175