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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #28 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham · #28
V⁻ -16VORP 32V⁺ 55
Trent Grisham

Trent Grisham

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
390
H
72
HR
13
AVG
.213
xwOBA
.342
PPG
2.28
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj82355.225.335.431.206.34322.8%13.6%9.2%1641952.38—
202697390.213
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
60
.342
xBA
40
.247
xSLG
.311
.391
.178
.342
16.9%
12.3%
4.6%
13
7
221
2.28
—
2025148582.234.348.463.229.37123.5%14.1%9.4%3443452.33—
202471209.190.293.385.195.30827.3%10.5%16.8%92951.34—
2023155555.198.315.352.154.32327.7%13.5%14.2%13152411.55—
2022167525.184.285.341.157.30028.6%10.9%17.7%1782221.33—
2021131529.241.328.412.171.30722.5%10.2%12.3%15132682.05—
202067252.251.353.456.205.36525.4%12.3%13.1%10101512.25—
201954183.231.333.410.179.31426.2%10.9%15.3%61951.76—
68
.439
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
90.6
Median EV
90
97.0
90th % EV
47
104.8
Barrel %
61
10.2
Hard-Hit %
66
44.7
Sweet-Spot %
50
36.0
Bat Speed
Avg
35
69.2
Median
18
69.1
90th %
17
73.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
98
18.8
Whiff %
82
16.4
K %
73
16.9
BB %
83
12.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-3.1r
33 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.0r
68 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
34.5%
348 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11311+17%6+0%8-30%10+6%16+0%115+25%8+7%15-18%17-48%33-20%15+14%145+50%10-22%18-42%19-44%25-11%195+0%62+0%6+18%11-17%12+13%84123121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 348