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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #22 of 59

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield · #22
V⁻ -44VORP 5V⁺ 0
TJ Rumfield

TJ Rumfield

1B / 3B·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
290
H
71
HR
11
AVG
.277
xwOBA
.323
PPG
2.54
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj80347.258.327.399.141.32518.4%8.3%10.1%921742.17—
202672290.277
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
35
.323
xBA
38
.247
xSLG
.358
.477
.200
.323
14.1%
9.3%
4.8%
11
0
183
2.54
—
32
.393
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
84.7
Median EV
27
90.6
90th % EV
18
102.0
Barrel %
28
6.5
Hard-Hit %
15
32.9
Sweet-Spot %
78
39.4
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.1
Median
19
69.3
90th %
24
74.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
38
31.6
Whiff %
74
17.5
K %
82
14.1
BB %
50
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-5.5r
63 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
37 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.5%
330 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
153243+75%8+0%10+20%15+0%10+17%634+43%23-25%28-15%13-27%15+11%94+27%11+20%15-42%19-19%26-9%11+71%73+25%8+60%10433132132CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 330