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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #86 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl · #60
V⁻ -8VORP 2V⁺ 33
TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
237
H
34
HR
3
AVG
.164
xwOBA
.240
PPG
0.86
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj61263.234.323.358.124.31118.1%9.9%8.2%661252.04—
202665237.164
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

237 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.240
xBA
0
.171
.251
.246
.082
.240
22.8%
8.4%
14.4%
3
5
56
0.86
—
2025157687.260.366.377.117.30416.7%11.8%4.9%14123532.25—
202485342.225.313.379.154.29715.2%7.6%7.6%1391982.33—
2023142556.279.354.467.188.28816.2%8.5%7.7%18273702.61—
202276258.240.321.436.196.28315.5%7.8%7.7%871652.17—
20211436.290.371.419.129.2965.6%11.1%-5.5%10261.86—
xSLG
0
.237
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
83.4
Median EV
1
85.7
90th % EV
6
99.7
Barrel %
4
2.5
Hard-Hit %
6
27.7
Sweet-Spot %
0
27.0
Bat Speed
Avg
17
67.4
Median
29
70.2
90th %
26
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
79
24.9
Whiff %
35
23.8
K %
35
22.8
BB %
41
8.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-6.6r
66 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
51 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.6%
356 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.42
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
54232+20%10+42%12-5%21+6%16+0%62+60%10+47%17-44%25-52%21+0%20+9%112+46%13-14%21-25%16-6%16+33%12+50%83+14%7+10%10+0%9+14%7+50%81111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 356