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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #24 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan · #24
V⁻ 13VORP 36V⁺ 67
Steven Kwan

Steven Kwan

OF·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
447
H
99
HR
2
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.325
PPG
1.98
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj90388.265.342.359.093.3199.5%10.2%-0.7%492122.36—
2026108447.261
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
43
.325
xBA
72
.272
xSLG
.362
.325
.064
.325
10.5%
12.5%
-2.0%
2
8
214
1.98
—
2025163698.270.331.371.101.3128.6%7.9%0.7%11224072.50—
2024138543.290.366.422.132.3389.4%9.8%-0.4%14144032.92—
2023164718.268.343.370.102.32010.4%9.7%0.7%5214122.51—
2022169638.298.375.400.102.3179.4%9.7%-0.3%6214392.60—
7
.334
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
81.7
Median EV
1
84.6
90th % EV
0
93.8
Barrel %
1
0.3
Hard-Hit %
0
8.9
Sweet-Spot %
98
43.0
Bat Speed
Avg
0
60.7
Median
1
61.9
90th %
1
68.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
94
20.8
Whiff %
99
7.3
K %
95
10.5
BB %
86
12.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 85th pctl
Chase cost
-5.1r
51 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.9r
84 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
34.1%
428 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.10
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14+0%72333+13%8+7%15+13%15+0%1455+42%12+6%17-35%26-49%43-16%32+18%111+67%6+17%12-48%33-41%27-25%16+0%654+11%9+21%14+40%10+0%7312143CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 428