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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #122 of 236

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Starling Marte
Starling Marte · #60
V⁻ -14VORP 0V⁺ 11
Starling Marte

Starling Marte

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
86
H
20
HR
1
AVG
.256
xwOBA
.302
PPG
0.67
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj37162.264.322.391.127.31920.9%6.5%14.4%34752.02—
20263086.256
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

86 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.302
xBA
23
.235
.318
.333
.077
.302
27.9%
5.8%
22.1%
1
0
20
0.67
—
202599329.270.340.410.140.31920.7%6.7%14.0%971631.65—
2024109370.269.329.388.119.34421.9%7.3%14.6%7182131.95—
202389341.248.301.324.076.31620.2%4.7%15.5%5251591.79—
2022126505.292.347.468.176.33719.2%5.1%14.1%16233412.71—
2021125528.309.383.456.147.35018.8%8.1%10.7%12483783.02—
202064250.281.341.430.149.32716.4%4.8%11.6%6111582.47—
2019132588.294.344.501.207.36216.0%4.3%11.7%23254223.20—
2018150608.276.328.458.182.33717.9%5.8%12.1%20353802.53—
201783340.274.334.377.103.32218.5%5.9%12.6%7211882.27—
xSLG
29
.386
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
29
88.3
Median EV
88
96.3
90th % EV
86
108.1
Barrel %
76
12.7
Hard-Hit %
28
38.2
Sweet-Spot %
13
30.9
Bat Speed
Avg
41
69.9
Median
57
72.5
90th %
60
77.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
32.0
Whiff %
21
27.4
K %
15
27.9
BB %
12
5.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
115
≈ 94th pctl
Chase cost
-1.3r
17 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.8r
17 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
111 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.89
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2122+67%65-37%8-17%64433-20%10-22%9-18%1121234131231111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 111