Seth Lugo
SP · KCR
MLBAM 607625
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 92 | 22.8% | 6.5% | 0.308 | 62 | 12.40 |
| 2025 | 614 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 0.350 | 251 | 9.30 |
| 2024 | 839 | 21.6% | 5.7% | 0.305 | 500 | 13.89 |
| 2023 | 604 | 23.2% | 6.0% | 0.323 | 308 | 11.00 |
| 2022 | 273 | 25.3% | 6.6% | 0.294 | 216 | 3.18 |
| 2021 | 195 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 0.319 | 136 | 2.96 |
| 2020 | 160 | 29.4% | 6.3% | 0.333 | 79 | 4.65 |
| 2019 | 314 | 33.1% | 5.1% | 0.245 | 316 | 5.02 |
| 2018 | 411 | 25.1% | 6.8% | 0.279 | 289 | 5.25 |
| 2017 | 437 | 19.5% | 5.7% | 0.327 | 149 | 7.45 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
19
91.2
FB Spin
62
2335
Extension
8
5.83
Results
xwOBA
63
0.308
Barrel %
56
7.7
Hard-Hit %
57
38.5
K %
54
22.8
BB %
76
6.5
Chase %
46
29.4
Whiff %
22
19.2
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
112
≈ 89th pctl
Stuff+
90
if they swing
Command+
110
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
96
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
14.8%
66 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.033
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.009 better than avg · 137 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.015
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.014 better than avg · 20 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 445 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SI | FF | CU | FC | SL | CH | ST | CS | SV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| MPH | 91.6 | 91.7 | 76.6 | 89.9 | 84.1 | 85.8 | 78.4 | 71.0 | 77.6 |
| RHP Avg | 94.3 | 95.0 | 80.2 | 89.8 | 86.7 | 86.9 | 83.3 | — | — |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SIFFCUFCSLCHSTCSSV
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.