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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #22 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki · #22
V⁻ -2VORP 32V⁺ 64
Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
443
H
104
HR
19
AVG
.272
xwOBA
.336
PPG
2.55
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj91392.256.341.459.202.35424.5%10.9%13.6%1642142.35—
2026101443.272
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.336
xBA
38
.246
xSLG
.366
.473
.201
.336
25.3%
12.0%
13.3%
19
2
258
2.55
—
2025162642.249.333.485.236.35624.9%10.9%14.0%3253982.46—
2024135585.283.368.482.199.35127.4%10.8%16.6%21163412.53—
2023137587.283.359.482.199.36022.1%10.1%12.0%2063362.45—
2022117446.262.339.433.171.33124.7%9.4%15.3%1492331.99—
51
.417
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.8
Median EV
22
89.7
90th % EV
58
105.9
Barrel %
57
9.9
Hard-Hit %
29
38.7
Sweet-Spot %
78
38.7
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.0
Median
72
73.7
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
87
22.7
Whiff %
37
23.0
K %
21
25.3
BB %
79
12.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 76th pctl
Chase cost
-1.9r
19 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.2r
28 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.0%
136 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.24
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
211233151+17%6-30%10-14%7-17%6213-12%8-50%10-33%6-57%732+33%6+44%95+50%611211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 136