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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #36 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn · #36
V⁻ -28VORP 29V⁺ 65
Ryan O'Hearn

Ryan O'Hearn

1B / OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
399
H
97
HR
17
AVG
.269
xwOBA
.322
PPG
2.47
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj79343.269.344.429.160.34518.7%9.6%9.1%1021882.38—
202696399.269
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
40
.322
xBA
50
.252
xSLG
.336
.453
.184
.322
21.6%
7.8%
13.8%
17
1
237
2.47
—
2025151547.279.366.434.155.34619.9%10.6%9.3%1733082.04—
2024146494.264.336.427.163.35714.0%9.3%4.7%1533052.09—
2023121369.288.323.478.190.32922.2%4.1%18.1%1452331.93—
202275145.239.292.321.082.33624.1%5.5%18.6%10751.00—
202192255.224.270.367.143.29727.8%5.1%22.7%90991.08—
202042132.195.305.301.106.32728.0%13.6%14.4%20400.95—
2019109370.195.283.369.174.31226.8%10.5%16.3%1401341.23—
201846171.260.351.593.333.34726.3%11.7%14.6%1211202.61—
43
.408
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
89.3
Median EV
71
94.3
90th % EV
38
104.0
Barrel %
40
7.2
Hard-Hit %
58
43.5
Sweet-Spot %
58
36.6
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.0
Median
38
71.0
90th %
28
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
31.7
Whiff %
65
19.7
K %
44
21.6
BB %
30
7.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 8th pctl
Chase cost
-8.6r
68 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.6r
69 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.6%
392 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.12
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
131+0%611+17%6+50%8+23%13+43%7+18%11+33%6+0%6+22%9+14%28-47%32-29%31+0%16+44%95+18%11+0%21-46%24-44%18-18%1751+44%9+36%14+0%9-12%844213221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 392