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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #19 of 67

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers · #19
V⁻ -10VORP -249V⁺ 10
Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

C·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
230
H
54
HR
10
AVG
.277
xwOBA
.364
PPG
2.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj35142.252.340.433.181.34620.0%10.3%9.6%51782.23—
202657230.277
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

230 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
83
.364
xBA
56
.256
.384
.492
.215
.364
16.5%
13.9%
2.6%
10
1
164
2.88
—
2025119466.265.355.395.130.32619.5%10.7%8.8%912261.90—
2024124465.226.303.432.206.30820.2%6.9%13.3%2132612.10—
2023100337.274.369.486.212.33627.6%9.8%17.8%1431861.86—
202275236.208.285.363.155.32526.3%9.7%16.6%701081.44—
202188294.198.269.399.201.29736.7%7.5%29.2%140971.10—
20202562.273.355.436.163.34830.6%8.1%22.5%30220.88—
xSLG
72
.450
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
51
89.5
Median EV
50
92.5
90th % EV
81
107.8
Barrel %
67
11.4
Hard-Hit %
44
41.1
Sweet-Spot %
59
36.7
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.0
Median
62
73.0
90th %
53
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
83
24.2
Whiff %
85
15.5
K %
74
16.5
BB %
92
13.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
43 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
50 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.3%
276 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
111+0%6+14%71342+29%7-10%10-62%16-19%16-26%19+71%73+6%17+14%14-35%23-44%16-8%13322+27%15+0%9-12%8+45%11422121111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 276