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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
411
H
88
HR
10
AVG
.236
xwOBA
.288
PPG
1.63
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026119527.284.388.541.257.36926.8%12.3%14.5%26303623.04—
2025168641.250
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

411 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.288
xBA
4
.217
.295
.485
.235
.323
23.7%
4.5%
19.2%
31
36
390
2.32
—
2024115411.236.288.383.147.28823.8%5.1%18.7%10231881.63—
20231119.000.176.000.000.25036.8%15.8%21.0%0120.18—
xSLG
13
.375
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
84.6
Median EV
19
90.5
90th % EV
12
101.7
Barrel %
35
7.4
Hard-Hit %
21
36.8
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.0
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.2
Median
23
70.0
90th %
19
74.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
40.5
Whiff %
25
26.8
K %
35
23.8
BB %
7
5.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 10th pctl
Chase cost
-33.1r
346 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.9r
125 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
60.1%
1,398 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.93
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+17%6+44%9+0%8+18%11+0%10+0%72+47%17+39%23+16%43+9%43+24%34+33%15+0%6+68%28+18%50-31%64-11%88-4%49+33%27+14%14+82%28+21%42-15%46-13%54+10%40+81%16+33%9+100%14+62%13+38%24+0%13+69%13+55%11423+50%6331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000