Paul Skenes
SP · PIT
MLBAM 694973
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 72 | 25.0% | 9.7% | 0.249 | 67 | 13.40 |
| 2025 | 733 | 29.5% | 5.7% | 0.256 | 541 | 15.91 |
| 2024 | 515 | 33.0% | 6.2% | 0.250 | 427 | 17.79 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
93
97.1
FB Spin
53
2298
Extension
82
6.80
Results
xwOBA
92
0.249
Barrel %
65
6.7
Hard-Hit %
95
28.9
K %
68
25.0
BB %
37
9.7
Chase %
69
31.8
Whiff %
63
24.3
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Stuff+
111
if they swing
Command+
115
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
112
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
7.6%
27 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.035
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.007 better than avg · 106 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.035
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.006 worse than avg · 30 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 354 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | SI | ST | FS | SL | CU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 37% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| MPH | 97.3 | 89.0 | 96.7 | 83.4 | 94.1 | 84.5 | 81.8 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.9 | 94.3 | 83.3 | 86.7 | 86.7 | 80.2 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSISTFSSLCU
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.