Paul Blackburn

P · NYY

MLBAM 621112

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	30	13.3%	6.7%	0.322	14	2.00
2025	175	19.4%	6.9%	0.310	18	1.13
2024	317	18.6%	6.6%	0.333	166	10.38
2023	464	22.4%	9.3%	0.327	138	6.57
2022	467	19.1%	6.4%	0.317	178	7.42
2021	175	14.9%	5.7%	0.353	13	1.30
2020	14	14.3%	14.3%	0.274	-17	-17.00
2019	57	14.0%	7.0%	0.429	-18	-4.50
2018	119	16.0%	5.0%	0.307	-2	-0.29
2017	238	9.2%	6.7%	0.322	92	9.20

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

30 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

92.4

FB Spin

2277

Extension

6.15

Results

xwOBA

0.322

Barrel %

0.0

Hard-Hit %

41.7

K %

13.3

BB %

6.7

Chase %

20.8

Whiff %

16.3

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

110

≈ 84th pctl

Stuff+

if they swing

Command+

106

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

103

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

8.5%

11 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.048

RV per pitch · league 0.042

+0.005 worse than avg · 22 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.021

RV per pitch · league 0.029

-0.008 better than avg · 11 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 129 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FC	SI	CH	CU	ST	SL

Usage	40%	35%	7%	7%	6%	5%
MPH	91.1	93.8	86.6	80.0	84.1	84.7
RHP Avg	89.8	94.3	86.9	80.2	83.3	86.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FCSICHCUSTSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.