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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-200-1000+100
Nick Madrigal

Nick Madrigal

3B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
48
H
12
HR
0
AVG
.293
xwOBA
.291
PPG
1.93
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj731.253.312.305.052.28210.9%6.2%4.7%00141.96—
20261448.293
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

48 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.291
xBA
21
.231
.396
.317
.024
.291
6.3%
12.5%
-6.2%
0
1
27
1.93
—
20243895.218.277.253.035.27110.5%4.2%6.3%01360.95—
202393294.263.311.352.089.2978.2%3.4%4.8%281621.74—
202266228.249.305.282.033.28411.8%6.1%5.7%03961.45—
202159215.305.350.425.120.2897.9%5.1%2.8%221462.47—
202035109.340.376.369.029.3136.4%3.7%2.7%02601.71—
xSLG
1
.281
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
32
88.7
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
4
26.3
Sweet-Spot %
6
28.9
Bat Speed
Avg
3
64.3
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
38
31.5
Whiff %
98
8.5
K %
99
6.3
BB %
75
12.5