Flanker the ClankerFlanker
Rankings
Leaderboards
  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
StreamersSign inConnect league →
Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #92 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes · #60
V⁻ -1VORP 9V⁺ 26
Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
300
H
74
HR
6
AVG
.270
xwOBA
.285
PPG
1.61
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj48209.262.322.383.122.31715.7%7.7%8.0%421042.16—
202682300.270
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

300 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.285
xBA
53
.254
.324
.376
.106
.285
14.7%
5.7%
9.0%
6
1
132
1.61
—
2025148440.254.323.405.151.31713.6%8.6%5.0%1222921.97—
20242491.303.384.447.144.3309.9%11.0%-1.1%12712.96—
20232231.192.300.308.116.27829.0%12.9%16.1%00140.64—
xSLG
5
.329
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
85.2
Median EV
1
85.0
90th % EV
14
101.6
Barrel %
4
1.3
Hard-Hit %
6
27.8
Sweet-Spot %
9
30.8
Bat Speed
Avg
4
65.3
Median
5
66.4
90th %
8
72.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
35.4
Whiff %
89
14.7
K %
82
14.7
BB %
10
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
72
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-5.4r
40 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.5r
28 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.0%
187 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.68
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13221+33%615+0%7243-42%12-30%10-50%8313+0%7-20%10-8%12-27%15413+63%8+30%10+22%9+75%811313CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 187