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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #21 of 55

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami · #21
V⁻ -40VORP 10V⁺ -26
Munetaka Murakami

Munetaka Murakami

1B / 3B·CHW
Compare
Compare
PA
359
H
70
HR
26
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.373
PPG
2.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj68292.226.346.478.252.36532.9%14.8%18.1%1841532.26—
202682359.237
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

359 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
86
.373
xBA
6
.217
.372
.539
.302
.373
33.7%
17.3%
16.4%
26
1
217
2.65
—
xSLG
86
.501
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
98
94.1
Median EV
96
100.2
90th % EV
94
110.0
Barrel %
99
20.6
Hard-Hit %
100
58.9
Sweet-Spot %
24
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.8
Median
80
74.5
90th %
79
79.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
92
21.9
Whiff %
0
39.9
K %
1
33.7
BB %
99
17.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 80th pctl
Chase cost
-5.2r
51 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.6r
57 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.9%
406 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.18
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+17%62+0%63+0%613+20%10+29%7+0%11+21%14+0%6+0%6+22%9+18%22-29%21-35%31-36%22+11%9+0%7+25%8-5%21-39%23-21%33-11%9+27%112+17%6+14%7+38%84+30%101212111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 406