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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #21 of 67

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Moisés Ballesteros
Moisés Ballesteros · #21
V⁻ -7VORP -238V⁺ 29
Moisés Ballesteros

Moisés Ballesteros

H·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
198
H
40
HR
6
AVG
.225
xwOBA
.315
PPG
1.25
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj40172.260.326.417.156.33118.5%8.5%9.9%51902.25—
202665198.225
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

198 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
32
.315
xBA
35
.245
.296
.360
.135
.315
20.7%
9.1%
11.6%
6
1
81
1.25
—
20252466.298.394.474.176.34618.2%13.6%4.6%20522.17—
xSLG
40
.396
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
90.6
Median EV
92
97.3
90th % EV
56
105.7
Barrel %
55
9.4
Hard-Hit %
81
47.5
Sweet-Spot %
29
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.0
Median
80
74.5
90th %
80
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
35.4
Whiff %
35
23.8
K %
49
20.7
BB %
47
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 54th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
41 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
25 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.1%
206 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
42111114+0%7+17%615+31%13-29%14-28%18-17%633+22%9+22%183-25%16+14%7533+43%7+0%622111111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 206