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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #39 of 67

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Miguel Amaya
Miguel Amaya · #39
V⁻ -13VORP -252V⁺ 13
Miguel Amaya

Miguel Amaya

C·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
194
H
40
HR
4
AVG
.242
xwOBA
.296
PPG
1.51
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj43172.229.303.370.141.30421.3%8.0%13.2%51751.74—
202659194.242
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

194 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.296
xBA
3
.208
.349
.370
.128
.296
25.3%
9.8%
15.5%
4
0
89
1.51
—
202530100.280.316.495.215.29621.0%4.0%17.0%40722.40—
2024113365.230.289.355.125.30217.0%6.3%10.7%801671.48—
202352156.214.331.359.145.32825.6%7.7%17.9%50671.29—
xSLG
4
.323
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
86.9
Median EV
1
83.5
90th % EV
2
98.0
Barrel %
35
6.8
Hard-Hit %
23
35.9
Sweet-Spot %
67
37.6
Bat Speed
Avg
28
68.8
Median
10
67.9
90th %
6
71.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
53
29.5
Whiff %
32
24.9
K %
21
25.3
BB %
57
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 20th pctl
Chase cost
-3.4r
22 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
31 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.6%
190 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.87
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
221331+14%712123+0%10-36%11-47%15-25%8+38%83+13%8+17%6-28%18-33%15133+29%7-25%85522321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 190