Michael Lorenzen

Michael Lorenzen

P · COL
MLBAM 547179
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20269314.0%5.4%0.379-6-1.00
202560720.9%6.4%0.3322027.21
202453618.1%11.0%0.3332358.39
202362517.8%7.5%0.3262718.47
202241120.7%10.7%0.3091758.75
202112516.8%11.2%0.310692.56
202014923.5%11.4%0.281834.15
201934424.7%8.1%0.2732423.18
201834515.7%9.9%0.3221603.56
201736122.2%9.4%0.3072142.93

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
30
92.2
FB Spin
63
2340
Extension
6
5.79
Results
xwOBA
9
0.379
Barrel %
63
6.9
Hard-Hit %
4
54.2
K %
9
14.0
BB %
88
5.4
Chase %
46
29.4
Whiff %
37
21.3
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
97
38th pctl
Stuff+
100
if they swing
Command+
98
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
91
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
13.2%
56 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.041
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.002 better than avg · 120 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.033
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.004 worse than avg · 33 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 425 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
CHFFSICUFCSLST
Usage21%20%14%14%13%12%7%
MPH83.893.593.081.989.584.781.8
RHP Avg86.995.094.380.289.886.783.3

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
CHFFSICUFCSLST-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
CHFFSICUFCSLST-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
CHFFSICUFCSLST

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 18FC · 25SI · 24ST · 26SL · 30CH · 29CU · 33arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.