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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #40 of 55

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Max Muncy
Max Muncy · #40
V⁻ -46VORP -19V⁺ -80
Max Muncy

Max Muncy

2B / 3B·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
195
H
38
HR
5
AVG
.218
xwOBA
.281
PPG
1.19
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj49211.239.298.399.160.31029.0%6.4%22.6%63831.69—
202654195.218
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

195 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.281
xBA
3
.208
.292
.374
.156
.281
34.4%
7.2%
27.2%
5
3
64
1.19
—
202564220.214.260.379.165.26730.9%4.5%26.4%91711.11—
xSLG
12
.353
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
90.6
Median EV
97
100.3
90th % EV
72
106.7
Barrel %
64
11.0
Hard-Hit %
78
46.8
Sweet-Spot %
37
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
71
72.4
Median
83
74.8
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
22
34.5
Whiff %
5
31.7
K %
0
34.4
BB %
22
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
81
≈ 3th pctl
Chase cost
-7.9r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.8r
46 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.2%
325 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.30
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
114111+17%6+29%7355+22%9+6%18-50%18-50%16-29%14+89%9+58%12-5%20-21%19-15%27-12%8+43%72+38%8+38%16+18%17+44%92+20%103431CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 325