Matt Waldron

Matt Waldron

P · SDP
MLBAM 663362
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20262119.0%4.8%0.342-12-6.00
20252512.0%24.0%0.474-8-8.00
202462621.2%6.4%0.3172087.70
202317317.9%6.9%0.321546.75

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

21 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal
FB Velocity
23
91.6
FB Spin
8
2093
Extension
78
6.73
Results
xwOBA
32
0.342
Barrel %
65
6.7
Hard-Hit %
49
40.0
K %
32
19.0
BB %
91
4.8
Chase %
69
31.8
Whiff %
1
12.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
97
37th pctl
Stuff+
88
if they swing
Command+
96
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
93
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.1%
14 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.048
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.005 worse than avg · 36 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.001
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.028 better than avg · 10 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 139 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROP100 PITCHSAMPLE
KNSTFFSIFC
Usage38%25%20%10%7%
MPH80.981.892.591.988.8
RHP Avg83.395.094.389.8

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
KNSTFFSIFC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
KNSTFFSIFC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
KNSTFFSIFC

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 14SI · 18FC · 26KN · 28ST · 28arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.