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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Matt McLain

Matt McLain

2B / SS·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
577
H
112
HR
15
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.291
PPG
1.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667275.203.310.359.156.33024.7%12.4%12.3%8111211.81—
2025150577.220
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.291
xBA
0
.208
xSLG
.302
.343
.123
.291
28.9%
9.5%
19.4%
15
18
215
1.43
—
202389404.290.356.505.215.33228.5%7.7%20.8%16142392.69—
4
.357
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.9
Median EV
20
91.1
90th % EV
20
103.3
Barrel %
31
7.7
Hard-Hit %
28
40.6
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
12
67.5
Median
13
69.2
90th %
9
73.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
57
25.9
Whiff %
28
26.1
K %
5
28.9
BB %
62
9.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 53th pctl
Chase cost
-35.7r
371 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.0r
451 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.9%
2,429 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.50
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22+29%7+38%833+17%12+18%22+0%12+33%15+22%18+0%8+23%22-16%32-30%53-20%66-4%48+33%27+11%19+57%28-8%60-32%66-42%80-21%52+16%19-17%6+32%25+20%41-5%40+14%43+11%1943+0%6+11%9+0%12+10%10+0%6CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000