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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #25 of 68

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn · #25
V⁻ -30VORP -9V⁺ 28
Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn

SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
448
H
95
HR
4
AVG
.242
xwOBA
.305
PPG
1.73
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj98421.252.311.376.124.30818.3%7.3%11.1%891972.01—
2026109448.242
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.305
xBA
53
.254
xSLG
.324
.323
.081
.305
19.6%
9.2%
10.4%
4
10
189
1.73
—
2025131538.252.311.362.110.28619.0%6.3%12.7%9112501.91—
2024153637.267.316.416.149.29817.1%6.4%10.7%15113342.18—
202341137.172.235.238.066.25219.0%7.3%11.7%23451.10—
7
.334
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
87.8
Median EV
4
86.5
90th % EV
14
101.4
Barrel %
7
3.2
Hard-Hit %
21
35.3
Sweet-Spot %
41
35.3
Bat Speed
Avg
35
69.5
Median
26
70.1
90th %
24
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
81
24.4
Whiff %
59
20.1
K %
59
19.6
BB %
49
9.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
46 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.0r
64 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
36.8%
326 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.43
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111233+0%6-14%7251+43%7+5%19-31%16-35%17-5%19+23%135+22%9+7%15-45%20-52%21-43%21+0%844+55%11+7%15+8%12-25%122423122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 326