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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #5 of 55

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia · #5
V⁻ -15VORP 35V⁺ 34
Maikel Garcia

Maikel Garcia

3B·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
294
H
70
HR
3
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.316
PPG
2.12
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj99427.271.332.403.132.32914.5%8.6%5.9%8162402.43—
202669294.261
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

294 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
33
.316
xBA
72
.272
.322
.373
.112
.316
15.3%
8.2%
7.1%
3
5
146
2.12
—
2025162669.284.352.446.162.33612.6%9.3%3.3%16264352.69—
2024165627.231.283.332.101.30616.4%6.7%9.7%7423221.95—
2023124516.271.329.357.086.32222.3%7.4%14.9%4232231.80—
20221523.318.348.364.046.23521.7%4.3%17.4%01201.33—
xSLG
22
.374
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
51
89.5
Median EV
67
93.9
90th % EV
35
103.8
Barrel %
19
4.9
Hard-Hit %
45
41.3
Sweet-Spot %
34
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.2
Median
45
71.5
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
87
22.7
Whiff %
92
13.8
K %
80
15.3
BB %
35
8.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 76th pctl
Chase cost
-4.3r
43 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.2r
72 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.3%
379 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.24
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14231+0%6+0%64+14%7+33%614+11%9-53%17-29%31-14%28+62%132+33%6+0%15-50%42-23%22-50%10+71%74+0%10+6%17-6%18+0%12+6%1845+0%62121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 379