
Luis Severino
SP · ATH
MLBAM 622663
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 86 | 27.9% | 18.6% | 0.349 | 36 | 6.00 |
| 2025 | 706 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 0.332 | 237 | 7.90 |
| 2024 | 762 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 0.309 | 393 | 11.23 |
| 2023 | 418 | 18.9% | 8.1% | 0.367 | 60 | 3.00 |
| 2022 | 406 | 27.6% | 7.4% | 0.277 | 282 | 11.75 |
| 2021 | 22 | 36.4% | 4.5% | 0.216 | 31 | 6.20 |
| 2019 | 48 | 35.4% | 12.5% | 0.259 | 49 | 9.80 |
| 2018 | 781 | 28.2% | 5.9% | 0.300 | 509 | 14.14 |
| 2017 | 782 | 29.4% | 6.5% | 0.272 | 575 | 15.54 |
| 2016 | 312 | 21.2% | 8.0% | 0.336 | 84 | 3.50 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
80
95.6
FB Spin
33
2210
Extension
57
6.57
Results
xwOBA
28
0.349
Barrel %
24
10.9
Hard-Hit %
12
50.0
K %
82
27.9
BB %
2
18.6
Chase %
15
25.5
Whiff %
55
23.6
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
98
≈ 41th pctl
Stuff+
114
if they swing
Command+
87
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
112
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.3%
37 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.046
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.004 worse than avg · 134 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.028
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.001 better than avg · 37 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 448 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FC | ST | SI | FF | CH | SL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 27% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 3% |
| MPH | 94.3 | 84.3 | 96.3 | 96.9 | 87.6 | 86.8 |
| RHP Avg | 89.8 | 83.3 | 94.3 | 95.0 | 86.9 | 86.7 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSTSIFFCHSL
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.