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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #55 of 236

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers · #55
V⁻ -27VORP 4V⁺ 29
Kyle Stowers

Kyle Stowers

OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
215
H
43
HR
7
AVG
.226
xwOBA
.323
PPG
1.71
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj83360.240.321.434.194.33527.8%9.6%18.2%1431712.06—
202651215.226
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

215 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
35
.323
xBA
23
.234
.310
.411
.185
.323
30.2%
8.8%
21.4%
7
1
87
1.71
—
2025121457.288.372.544.256.37927.4%10.5%16.9%2552852.36—
202465210.207.268.332.125.29235.2%6.2%29.0%30440.68—
20231633.067.152.067.000.19536.4%9.1%27.3%0000.00—
20224198.253.306.418.165.33229.6%5.1%24.5%30451.10—
xSLG
49
.421
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
63
90.3
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
54
9.4
Hard-Hit %
87
51.2
Sweet-Spot %
27
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
79
73.0
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
21
34.3
Whiff %
3
33.1
K %
7
30.2
BB %
43
8.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
161
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
+0.0r
0 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
+0.0r
0 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.0%
8 pitches seen
Runs per 100
0.00
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11111111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 8