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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber

H·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
320
H
66
HR
25
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.380
PPG
2.54
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj102440.231.354.513.282.38029.0%15.0%14.0%2942712.66—
202671320.244
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
86
.380
xBA
27
.239
xSLG
.363
.563
.319
.380
34.4%
14.4%
20.0%
25
1
180
2.54
—
2025171726.239.364.561.322.40727.1%14.9%12.2%56105393.15—
2024156693.247.369.484.237.38528.4%15.3%13.1%3854182.68—
2023177722.196.344.472.276.36729.8%17.5%12.3%4704442.51—
2022184670.218.323.503.285.38629.9%12.8%17.1%46134592.49—
2021131474.264.373.550.286.40126.8%13.5%13.3%3223662.79—
202064224.188.308.393.205.34129.5%13.4%16.1%111991.55—
2019160611.249.342.530.281.38025.5%11.5%14.0%3823832.39—
2018142511.238.356.466.228.36727.4%15.3%12.1%2642731.92—
2017145487.210.314.466.256.35030.8%12.1%18.7%3012701.86—
86
.517
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
89
93.0
Median EV
81
95.3
90th % EV
72
106.7
Barrel %
97
20.8
Hard-Hit %
85
50.9
Sweet-Spot %
90
41.5
Bat Speed
Avg
87
74.0
Median
94
76.5
90th %
85
79.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
75
24.7
Whiff %
7
30.7
K %
1
34.4
BB %
90
14.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-5.5r
55 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.0r
63 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
38.6%
373 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.54
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2222321+0%8+26%19+33%12-6%17+0%91+38%8-8%24-45%31-30%27-21%14+18%113+40%10-5%19-29%24-33%15-50%643+25%8+67%6-12%8+13%8+29%7+33%6413CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 373