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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #118 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel · #60
V⁻ -48VORP -17V⁺ -2
Kyle Isbel

Kyle Isbel

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
201
H
42
HR
3
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.270
PPG
1.05
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj77333.239.290.359.120.29220.1%6.4%13.7%671381.80—
202661201.233
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

201 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.270
xBA
23
.234
.289
.333
.100
.270
21.4%
5.5%
15.9%
3
4
64
1.05
—
2025129409.255.303.353.098.25118.1%5.6%12.5%441571.22—
2024141426.229.288.367.138.28320.7%6.3%14.4%8102071.47—
202393314.239.283.379.140.29018.8%5.4%13.4%571601.72—
2022100278.211.265.340.129.26927.0%5.8%21.2%591331.33—
20213584.273.333.429.156.25427.4%8.3%19.1%13591.69—
xSLG
3
.316
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
83.3
Median EV
15
88.9
90th % EV
33
103.5
Barrel %
6
2.8
Hard-Hit %
19
34.0
Sweet-Spot %
2
28.5
Bat Speed
Avg
28
68.7
Median
33
70.6
90th %
28
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
33.2
Whiff %
85
15.5
K %
47
21.4
BB %
9
5.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
34 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
38 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.0%
226 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.60
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
241445+22%9+11%9423-70%10-35%17-23%13-10%10+33%6+25%8-67%6-17%12-25%12-25%8+44%94+50%6+0%8+33%6+0%72112232CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 226