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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150+200
Josh Rojas

Josh Rojas

2B / 3B·KCR
Compare
Compare
BF
4
K %
0.0%
BB %
0.0%
xwOBA
.318
PTS
2
PPG
2.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2026101.000000.003.100.0%0.0%0.0%.318.250100.0%25.0%22.00
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

4 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2024
2
0
2.0
0
0
0
0
9.00
12.60
0.0%
25.0%
-25.0%
.466
.000
62.5%
16.7%
-1
-0.50
2023202.0000018.003.607.7%7.7%0.0%.497.54542.9%18.2%-8-4.00
Extension
0
5.07
Results
xwOBA
46
.318
Barrel %
100
0.0
Hard-Hit %
100
0.0
K %
0
0.0
BB %
100
0.0
Chase %
0
22.2
Whiff %
0
0.0