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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #52 of 59

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100José Tena
José Tena · #52
V⁻ -26VORP -14V⁺ -7
José Tena

José Tena

3B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
142
H
29
HR
3
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.297
PPG
0.83
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj34147.248.303.374.125.30325.7%7.0%18.7%34571.67—
202653142.220
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

142 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.297
xBA
27
.239
.275
.356
.136
.297
32.4%
6.3%
26.1%
3
1
44
0.83
—
202551169.243.315.355.112.30321.9%8.9%13.0%03711.39—
202444169.265.296.352.087.30724.3%4.1%20.2%36581.32—
20231634.226.294.290.064.23338.2%8.8%29.4%0030.19—
xSLG
26
.384
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.4
Median EV
9
88.1
90th % EV
14
101.4
Barrel %
60
10.5
Hard-Hit %
92
53.5
Sweet-Spot %
40
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
69
72.4
Median
67
73.2
90th %
76
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
41
31.0
Whiff %
3
33.1
K %
4
32.4
BB %
13
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
89
≈ 14th pctl
Chase cost
-4.1r
39 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
24 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.1%
180 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.99
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121223+43%75+17%63333+11%9-44%18-37%8-27%1144-12%8+0%12-14%7+25%84145+43%7413122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 180