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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #58 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker · #58
V⁻ -64VORP 11V⁺ -13
Jordan Walker

Jordan Walker

OF·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
488
H
126
HR
23
AVG
.283
xwOBA
.358
PPG
2.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj90389.253.318.439.186.33525.6%7.9%17.7%1581942.16—
2026114488.283
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
80
.358
xBA
81
.277
xSLG
.342
.488
.205
.358
24.4%
7.6%
16.8%
23
14
306
2.68
—
2025108396.215.278.306.091.27931.8%7.3%24.5%6101091.01—
202455182.196.250.357.161.28227.5%5.5%22.0%51651.18—
2023121466.276.343.444.168.33222.3%7.9%14.4%1682311.91—
84
.490
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
91
92.7
Median EV
94
99.0
90th % EV
99
112.3
Barrel %
83
13.4
Hard-Hit %
81
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
37
35.0
Bat Speed
Avg
99
77.3
Median
97
77.8
90th %
97
82.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
35.4
Whiff %
12
28.6
K %
26
24.4
BB %
26
7.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 55th pctl
Chase cost
-5.2r
54 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
36 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.2%
327 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
122211354+10%10533+13%8-10%10-17%18-23%22-15%2754+30%10+30%10-13%23-28%18-50%10+50%835+46%13+0%16+9%11+13%8+33%6332312CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 327