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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #142 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Jordan Beck
Jordan Beck · #60
V⁻ -22VORP -4V⁺ -1
Jordan Beck

Jordan Beck

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
101
H
19
HR
1
AVG
.200
xwOBA
.253
PPG
0.94
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj33142.248.310.410.162.32027.1%7.8%19.3%44631.89—
202633101.200
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

101 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.253
xBA
6
.215
.240
.337
.137
.253
25.7%
5.0%
20.7%
1
2
31
0.94
—
2025152589.257.317.415.158.30229.5%7.3%22.2%16212411.59—
202455184.188.246.276.088.26835.3%6.5%28.8%37280.51—
xSLG
2
.311
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
85.3
Median EV
6
86.9
90th % EV
18
102.0
Barrel %
25
5.7
Hard-Hit %
9
28.6
Sweet-Spot %
2
28.6
Bat Speed
Avg
67
71.9
Median
72
73.6
90th %
79
79.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
6
40.0
Whiff %
15
27.7
K %
19
25.7
BB %
9
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 6th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
51 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
24 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.5%
221 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.16
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
335+25%8+44%9+22%9-17%6-25%16-33%12+0%955+18%17-11%9-17%12-30%104+50%8+38%8+40%10+29%7231322CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 221