Flanker the ClankerFlanker
Rankings
Leaderboards
  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
StreamersSign inConnect league →
Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Rank #18 of 40

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda · #18
V⁻ -24VORP -8V⁺ 37
Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda

1B·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
307
H
70
HR
11
AVG
.275
xwOBA
.374
PPG
2.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj93402.258.348.431.173.34824.8%10.8%13.9%1412032.18—
202670307.275
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
82
.374
xBA
63
.265
xSLG
.385
.443
.168
.374
23.8%
13.7%
10.1%
11
0
170
2.43
—
2025111422.316.396.489.173.38525.4%9.7%15.7%1402562.31—
202444144.233.308.426.193.36822.2%8.3%13.9%60731.66—
202339103.230.343.368.138.28330.1%12.6%17.5%20431.10—
20223687.192.276.321.129.28926.4%9.2%17.2%20330.92—
74
.468
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
74
90.9
Median EV
56
93.1
90th % EV
36
103.9
Barrel %
68
11.8
Hard-Hit %
67
45.5
Sweet-Spot %
71
38.0
Bat Speed
Avg
24
68.5
Median
23
69.7
90th %
26
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
54
27.7
Whiff %
63
19.7
K %
30
23.8
BB %
85
13.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 51th pctl
Chase cost
-6.8r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.1r
55 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.2%
392 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.52
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23225442+50%10+0%13+8%13+13%15+22%94+33%6+15%13-24%29-21%28-21%28+45%11+17%6+58%12-8%13-16%19-21%28+6%17+64%1135+25%8-29%7+30%10+50%62121121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 392