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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100
Joey Meneses

Joey Meneses

1B·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
25
H
3
HR
0
AVG
.150
xwOBA
.326
PPG
0.67
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj825.196.238.297.101.24115.5%4.8%10.7%0091.05—
2026925.150
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

25 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
45
.326
xBA
71
.269
.292
.150
.000
.326
16.0%
12.0%
4.0%
0
0
6
0.67
—
202479316.229.294.299.070.28719.9%6.6%13.3%321251.58—
2023159659.274.322.400.126.29019.7%5.8%13.9%1303222.03—
202259240.324.370.563.239.34121.7%6.3%15.4%1311672.83—
xSLG
3
.314
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
91
92.7
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
100
58.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
23.5
Bat Speed
Avg
24
68.4
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
27
33.3
Whiff %
57
20.6
K %
77
16.0
BB %
79
12.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
152
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.0r
1 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
+0.0r
0 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
100.0%
7 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-0.36
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 7