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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #155 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Joey Loperfido
Joey Loperfido · #60
V⁻ -33VORP -23V⁺ 0
Joey Loperfido

Joey Loperfido

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
120
H
21
HR
1
AVG
.206
xwOBA
.304
PPG
1.13
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj51220.231.294.364.133.29628.6%7.0%21.6%54771.51—
202639120.206
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

120 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
19
.304
xBA
17
.231
.308
.324
.118
.304
25.8%
11.7%
14.1%
1
1
44
1.13
—
202540104.333.379.500.167.31626.0%3.8%22.2%41581.45—
202481262.214.265.350.136.25636.3%5.0%31.3%44600.74—
xSLG
9
.337
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
30
88.3
Median EV
58
93.2
90th % EV
34
103.6
Barrel %
35
6.8
Hard-Hit %
22
35.6
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.2
Bat Speed
Avg
39
69.8
Median
53
72.1
90th %
57
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
53
29.6
Whiff %
15
27.7
K %
19
25.8
BB %
76
11.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 15th pctl
Chase cost
-6.0r
58 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.7r
41 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
297 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.95
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
311431153+24%17-8%13+10%1043+57%7+20%10-41%17-27%22-20%154+17%6+73%11+0%16-24%21-27%15-14%733+33%6+57%7+17%6+0%12+50%612231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 297