Flanker the ClankerFlanker
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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Joey Estes

Joey Estes

SP·ATH
Compare
Compare
BF
18
K %
22.2%
BB %
5.6%
xwOBA
.264
PTS
3
PPG
3.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj20437.023005.335.1715.8%6.9%8.8%————371.83
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

18 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
24
92.0
FB Spin
85
2410
2026
1
1
4.3
0
0
0
0
8.31
4.95
22.2%
5.6%
16.6%
.264
.333
43.5%
15.4%
3
3.00
20254316.0030011.257.0410.9%10.9%0.0%.364.37752.6%26.2%-34-8.50
20242524127.779015.014.8716.9%5.0%11.9%.329.27469.7%24.9%1736.92
20232210.001007.208.4014.9%4.3%10.6%.414.25870.2%28.6%21.00
Extension
26
6.22
Results
xwOBA
96
.264
Barrel %
57
7.7
Hard-Hit %
97
30.8
K %
54
22.2
BB %
88
5.6
Chase %
77
32.4
Whiff %
86
27.0