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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #9 of 55

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · #9
V⁻ -21VORP 21V⁺ 52
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

2B / 3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
432
H
84
HR
17
AVG
.218
xwOBA
.292
PPG
1.78
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj89386.238.318.433.194.33326.3%9.8%16.5%17212042.30—
2026109432.218
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
9
.292
xBA
3
.208
xSLG
.298
.397
.179
.292
31.0%
10.0%
21.0%
17
30
194
1.78
—
2025142531.242.335.481.239.34727.9%10.9%17.0%31333482.45—
2024163621.256.325.436.180.32224.5%8.5%16.0%24463552.18—
2023101384.249.304.456.207.30730.7%6.8%23.9%19241891.87—
202271241.254.329.535.281.35227.4%8.7%18.7%14131852.61—
2021132507.248.305.425.177.30828.6%6.7%21.9%18262531.92—
20202162.161.242.321.160.26930.6%8.1%22.5%22231.10—
17
.363
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
54
89.6
Median EV
17
89.4
90th % EV
22
102.4
Barrel %
53
9.1
Hard-Hit %
50
42.3
Sweet-Spot %
3
29.2
Bat Speed
Avg
62
71.3
Median
56
72.4
90th %
53
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
28.7
Whiff %
11
29.0
K %
7
31.0
BB %
59
10.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 31th pctl
Chase cost
-7.1r
60 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.4r
65 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.9%
382 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.73
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2234+0%62+33%6-7%14-11%19+17%12+55%11+13%84+83%12-12%17-36%33-43%30-12%17+33%6+13%8+60%10-17%24-44%16-12%17-11%18+38%81+13%82+0%7+25%823124111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 382