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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #190 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Javier Báez
Javier Báez · #60
V⁻ -19VORP -12V⁺ -6
Javier Báez

Javier Báez

3B / SS / OF·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
119
H
32
HR
2
AVG
.281
xwOBA
.272
PPG
1.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj32138.233.271.360.126.28123.5%3.9%19.6%32521.62—
202632119.281
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

119 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.272
xBA
53
.254
.305
.386
.105
.272
17.6%
2.5%
15.1%
2
1
58
1.81
—
2025136437.257.284.398.141.27124.9%2.3%22.6%1262121.56—
202484289.184.224.294.110.26923.9%4.2%19.7%681021.21—
2023141547.222.269.325.103.28222.9%4.4%18.5%9122071.47—
2022156592.237.278.391.154.28624.8%4.4%20.4%1792611.67—
2021145549.264.319.492.228.32333.5%5.1%28.4%31192881.99—
202063235.203.240.360.157.27431.9%3.0%28.9%83681.08—
2019139561.281.317.531.250.33527.8%5.0%22.8%29113542.55—
2018166646.290.328.554.264.34725.9%4.5%21.4%34224432.67—
2017150509.272.317.479.207.30528.3%5.9%22.4%23132821.88—
xSLG
4
.325
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
85.0
Median EV
17
89.4
90th % EV
13
101.1
Barrel %
4
2.1
Hard-Hit %
9
28.7
Sweet-Spot %
53
36.2
Bat Speed
Avg
63
71.4
Median
57
72.5
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
0
49.3
Whiff %
32
24.3
K %
69
17.6
BB %
0
2.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
74
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-6.9r
67 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.1r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
58.1%
222 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.61
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
213244+29%74123-29%7-25%12-37%8+33%61+71%7+57%14-24%17-27%11-9%11+71%7+50%6+50%8+33%12+27%11311343111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 222