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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jacob Wilson

Jacob Wilson

SS·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
524
H
151
HR
13
AVG
.310
xwOBA
.305
PPG
2.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202644189.283.310.383.100.27111.6%3.7%7.9%32992.25—
2025130524.310
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.305
xBA
87
.279
xSLG
.355
.444
.134
.305
7.4%
5.2%
2.2%
13
5
351
2.70
—
202427104.247.314.312.065.2929.6%7.7%1.9%00421.56—
8
.365
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
84.1
Median EV
0
87.6
90th % EV
1
99.4
Barrel %
2
2.2
Hard-Hit %
1
24.7
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.7
Bat Speed
Avg
1
62.0
Median
1
63.3
90th %
1
69.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
32.1
Whiff %
98
8.3
K %
99
7.4
BB %
10
5.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 79th pctl
Chase cost
-27.3r
298 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.6r
261 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.7%
1,744 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.23
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3155+9%11+50%64+43%7+18%11+34%29+24%41+53%19+22%9+0%7+45%11-12%32-30%53-15%80-2%49+55%20+30%10+35%26-14%49-30%70-33%73-31%39+45%20+14%7+36%22+17%36+2%44+17%41+0%2235+15%13+17%6+10%10+0%11+33%641CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000