Jacob Lopez

Jacob Lopez

SP · ATH
MLBAM 682052
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20269017.8%18.9%0.31771.40
202540128.2%9.2%0.2981899.00
20244617.4%15.2%0.304153.75
20235414.8%3.7%0.361285.60

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
3
89.1
FB Spin
12
2127
Extension
90
6.91
Results
xwOBA
54
0.317
Barrel %
77
5.3
Hard-Hit %
92
29.8
K %
27
17.8
BB %
1
18.9
Chase %
1
20.6
Whiff %
43
22.2
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
91
18th pctl
Stuff+
98
if they swing
Command+
89
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
99
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.8%
43 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.059
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.017 worse than avg · 105 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.004
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.025 better than avg · 46 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 437 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE22°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLFCCHSI
Usage32%23%21%12%12%
MPH90.477.786.582.989.8
LHP Avg93.284.788.184.693.0

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLFCCHSI-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLFCCHSI-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLFCCHSI

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFC · 21FF · 25SI · 25CH · 26SL · 33arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.