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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Heriberto Hernández

Heriberto Hernández

OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
296
H
68
HR
10
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.335
PPG
1.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202688316.227.298.448.221.34027.2%8.9%18.3%1681541.75—
202586296.264
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

296 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
52
.335
xBA
20
.237
.349
.434
.170
.335
26.0%
10.5%
15.5%
10
1
155
1.80
—
xSLG
45
.427
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
53
90.2
Median EV
50
93.1
90th % EV
53
105.8
Barrel %
62
10.9
Hard-Hit %
53
45.4
Sweet-Spot %
1
30.1
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.1
Median
68
73.2
90th %
62
77.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
86
21.5
Whiff %
2
32.1
K %
19
26.0
BB %
72
10.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-13.2r
166 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.2r
144 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.2%
1,137 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.88
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+0%623+0%731+9%11-6%17+11%28+10%21+10%20+11%91+23%26-19%48-31%51-18%60+8%49+29%24+0%9+12%33-5%61-26%76-10%51+0%44+35%26+11%9+0%20+22%27+33%48+19%36+19%16+17%184-8%12+18%11+8%12+14%75+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000