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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #146 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning · #60
V⁻ —VORP -53V⁺ —
Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

SP·SDP
Compare
Compare
BF
183
K %
22.4%
BB %
13.7%
xwOBA
.342
PTS
19
PPG
2.11
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj201683.046004.434.4220.4%9.6%10.8%————1175.83
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

183 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
49
93.6
FB Spin
30
2204
2026
9
8
42.0
1
5
0
0
6.64
5.41
22.4%
13.7%
8.7%
.342
.303
63.9%
50.4%
19
2.11
2025171780.783003.793.9221.3%10.4%10.9%.335.29574.7%51.6%1629.53
20243332176.3614005.265.1117.5%8.9%8.6%.341.28368.7%41.3%1765.33
20232523131.079004.264.0625.9%6.7%19.2%.309.30075.8%43.0%2399.56
2021161469.764005.565.6622.3%10.1%12.2%.336.29073.0%36.2%945.88
2020121262.333003.614.0623.3%9.6%13.7%.320.29775.2%36.7%1169.67
2019181790.356004.584.2525.0%7.8%17.2%.303.28073.2%38.8%1608.89
Extension
8
5.86
Results
xwOBA
25
.342
Barrel %
19
10.3
Hard-Hit %
1
50.4
K %
55
22.4
BB %
0
13.7
Chase %
1
23.8
Whiff %
62
23.2