
Grant Holmes
SP · ATL
MLBAM 656550
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 88 | 19.3% | 11.4% | 0.285 | 56 | 11.20 |
| 2025 | 493 | 24.9% | 11.0% | 0.331 | 187 | 8.50 |
| 2024 | 282 | 24.8% | 5.3% | 0.298 | 147 | 5.65 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
64
94.4
FB Spin
63
2336
Extension
9
5.95
Results
xwOBA
72
0.285
Barrel %
78
4.9
Hard-Hit %
69
36.1
K %
32
19.3
BB %
20
11.4
Chase %
44
29.2
Whiff %
91
29.5
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
94
≈ 27th pctl
Stuff+
116
if they swing
Command+
93
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
99
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.4%
33 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.053
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.010 worse than avg · 101 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.003
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.026 better than avg · 29 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 395 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SL | FF | CU | SI | CH | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 41% | 39% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| MPH | 85.6 | 94.6 | 83.8 | 93.5 | 89.5 | 91.6 |
| RHP Avg | 86.7 | 95.0 | 80.2 | 94.3 | 86.9 | 89.8 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SLFFCUSICHFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.