Graham Ashcraft

P · CIN

MLBAM 668933

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	43	30.2%	11.6%	0.257	41	3.42
2025	284	22.5%	8.8%	0.291	187	2.88
2024	350	16.3%	7.7%	0.350	94	5.88
2023	624	17.8%	8.3%	0.340	216	8.00
2022	464	15.3%	6.5%	0.314	126	6.30

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

43 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

98.3

FB Spin

2557

Extension

5.52

Results

xwOBA

0.257

Barrel %

4.0

Hard-Hit %

40.0

K %

30.2

BB %

11.6

Chase %

34.0

Whiff %

34.1

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

117

≈ 96th pctl

Stuff+

122

if they swing

Command+

108

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

122

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

5.0%

10 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.027

RV per pitch · league 0.042

-0.016 better than avg · 57 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.036

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.006 worse than avg · 13 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 199 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FC	SL

Usage	55%	45%
MPH	98.3	91.6
RHP Avg	89.8	86.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FCSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.