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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #10 of 68

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor · #10
V⁻ 26VORP 42V⁺ 99
Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor

SS·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
270
H
56
HR
10
AVG
.234
xwOBA
.344
PPG
2.34
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj75324.257.335.445.188.34718.4%9.3%9.2%13111962.61—
202661270.234
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

270 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
64
.344
xBA
52
.253
.322
.418
.184
.344
19.6%
10.4%
9.2%
10
3
143
2.34
—
2025165732.267.349.466.199.34817.9%8.9%9.0%31314872.95—
2024169690.273.345.499.226.38218.4%8.1%10.3%33295193.07—
2023166687.254.340.470.216.34619.9%9.6%10.3%31314752.86—
2022174707.269.341.448.179.33518.8%8.3%10.5%26174852.79—
2021132526.229.323.410.181.34818.3%11.0%7.3%20113322.52—
202065267.257.336.414.157.34915.4%9.0%6.4%861612.48—
2019144655.284.338.518.234.33915.0%7.0%8.0%32224573.17—
2018167746.276.353.518.242.38114.3%9.4%4.9%38255803.47—
2017170723.273.338.505.232.36112.9%8.3%4.6%33155173.04—
xSLG
71
.445
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
82
91.6
Median EV
50
92.5
90th % EV
43
104.4
Barrel %
53
9.1
Hard-Hit %
86
49.5
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
56
70.8
Median
57
72.5
90th %
47
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
28.2
Whiff %
43
22.1
K %
59
19.6
BB %
66
10.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 30th pctl
Chase cost
-9.4r
80 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
54 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.6%
436 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.75
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11434313+13%16+25%20+6%17+24%1735+64%11+13%23-32%28-27%26-22%23+50%83+73%15+9%23-27%26-31%26-30%10+56%92+50%6+38%13+42%12+43%7+0%952132311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 436