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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150+200
Eric Wagaman

Eric Wagaman

1B / OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
10
H
2
HR
1
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.433
PPG
0.83
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj731.239.291.380.141.29922.3%6.7%15.6%10131.88—
2026610.250
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

10 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
97
.433
xBA
37
.246
.400
.625
.375
.433
40.0%
10.0%
30.0%
1
0
5
0.83
—
2025142514.250.299.378.128.31619.5%6.2%13.3%952321.63—
20242075.247.267.397.150.31022.7%2.7%20.0%20311.55—
xSLG
99
.629
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
100
97.8
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
100
25.0
Hard-Hit %
83
50.0
Sweet-Spot %
100
50.0
Bat Speed
Avg
32
68.9
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
99
13.6
Whiff %
0
40.0
K %
0
40.0
BB %
57
10.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
129
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.2r
2 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.1r
3 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.2%
23 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.30
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121133211111111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 23